Quarterly financial reports play a vital role on Wall Street, as they help investors see how a company has performed and what might be coming down the road in the near-term. And out of all of the metrics and results to consider, earnings is one of the most important.
The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.
2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist
The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company’s report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.
Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let’s dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Polaris Inc (PII) earns a Zacks Rank #3 right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $1.80 a share, just 14 days from its upcoming earnings release on April 25, 2023.
By taking the percentage difference between the $1.80 Most Accurate Estimate and the $1.73 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Polaris Inc has an Earnings ESP of 3.85%.
PII is one of just a large database of Auto-Tires-Trucks stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Mobileye Global (MBLY).
Slated to report earnings on April 27, 2023, Mobileye Global holds a #3 (Hold) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it’s Most Accurate Estimate is $0.15 a share 16 days from its next quarterly update.
Mobileye Global’s Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 11.94% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13.
PII and MBLY’s positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They’re Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they’re reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report